The governor wants money from SAIF, the kicker, capital gains and estate taxes—and public employees—to halt rising employer contributions.
Gov. Kate Brown today released her plan for halting the rise in the cost of the Public Employee Retirement System costs for Oregon schools, community colleges and public universities.
The governor’s concept calls for the state to set aside $2.5 to $3 billion to hold employer rates steady. That sum would be front-end loaded with an $800 million down payment but the rest of the money could flow in over the next 14 years.
“Tweaks to the PERS system will not set us on a path toward stability,” Brown said in a statement. “We have had this problem for several years, and I am not willing to go another legislative session without taking significant steps to stabilize school rates and address the PERS unfunded liability.”
Brown proposes to pull together several different pots of money to use to pay down some of the obligations school districts and other educational institutions owe to current and future retirees.
Part of the plan that is sure to draw howls from her union base is a proposal that public employees shoulder part of the cost.
“Public employees provide extremely valuable services,” Brown’s chief of staff Nik Blosser says. “We need to stabilize their retirements. There is a deficit now and we need to equitably spread the burden of addressing that deficit. This plan does that.”
The governor’s proposal comes at an opportune time.
Last week, lawmakers offered Oregonians an idea of how they would deploy $2 billion in new revenue for K-12 education.
Not coincidentally, former Gov. Ted Kulongoski and his one-time chief of staff, the former labor lead Tim Nesbitt, rolled out plans for two 2020 ballot measures that would cut the public employee pension costs that threaten to consume much of the proposed new tax increases.
Public employee unions don’t like those ballot measures, which would bite more deeply into the compensation of current employees than would Brown’s proposal and begin a transition away from a defined benefit plan, where the state is on the hook for future payments, to a 401K-style plan, where the employee takes more of the risk.
Brown said she does not favor adopting a 401K-style plan.
“We must protect the current PERS defined benefit plan and implement modest, dedicated employee contributions to secure each member’s retirement,” Brown said. “Over two-thirds of all public employees are now in the OPSRP or Tier 3 plan, and it is working well. It is both cost-effective for employers and provides a solid benefit for employees. I do not support changing this plan.”
Brown is charting a middle ground. She wants to halt the increase in employer contributions to pension costs and effectively hold it steady at current rates for the next 14 years. (Because of the retirement of baby boomers who enjoyed the most generous PERS benefits, public employers will see maximum expense during that timeframe.)
The governor’s position is that if nothing is done, the rising cost of pension obligations will consume much of any new funding for teachers and educational services.
Here’s an example of what will happen to PERS costs for Portland Public Schools over the next decade without stabilization:
In 15 years, according to state projections, system costs will decline sharply as the retirees with the most generous benefits (so called Tier One members, hired before Jan. 1, 1996) are replaced by retirees with more modest benefits (Tier Three members, hired after Aug. 28, 2003).
If nothing is done, employer contribution rates for school districts, for instance, are set to rise sharply to help pay down the current nearly $27 billion unfunded liability.
The problem—now a $26 billion unfunded liablity—is that lawmakers promised retirees more money than the state has set aside to pay them, so employers have to increase their contributions to catch up.
Brown’s plan begins with $800 million dedicated to the shortfall up front, then roughly $2 billion more over the next 14 years.
Her proposal for how to raise the initial $800 million calls on two mainsources, each of which is likely to create concerns:
1. Retaining $400 million from an individual income tax “kicker” scheduled to be returned to taxpayers.
2. Transferring some or all of $486 million in excess reserves held by SAIF Corp., the state-owned worker’s compensation insurer.
Keeping the kicker would require a two-thirds vote of both legislative chambers and would likely anger many taxpayers and Republicans in particular.
Brown says it makes no sense to send a kicker back to Oregonians when PERS has a huge deficit.
“It is the height of fiscal mismanagement to on one hand say something must be done about the PERS unfunded liability, and on the other hand do nothing to stop the state from sending out over a billion dollars in tax breaks to wealthy Oregonians and businesses over the next 12 months,” she said.
Sweeping money from SAIF’s reserves could anger companies that hope to benefit from those reserves in the form of lower rates or dividends from SAIF in the future.
In terms of recurring sources of funding for the 14-year period, there are two major line items. One of them is relatively uncontroversial, although speculative; the other will cause conflict with public employees.
1. The first is windfall tax revenues. State economists project that revenues from capital gains and estate taxes are likely to be far above normal over the next 14 years. That line item would be the biggest source of ongoing funding for rate stabilization, bringing in nearly $100 million a year for 14 years.
2. The plan also calls for current employees to make contributions to pay down the unfunded liability. The governor’s draft plan shows that employees in Tiers One and Two would pay 3 percent of their salary above $20,000 and Tier Three employees would pay 1.5 percent above $20,000. That employee contribution would bring in about $60 million a year. Employees would pay those contributions into “stability accounts” that they would retain ownership of, in effect reducing their take-home pay now but retaining their full pension benefit. Currently, the PERS liability is about 80 percent funded. When it rises above 90 percent, employees would no longer make the new contributions.
Blosser anticipates push-back on various parts of the proposal.
“It’s my hope is that people will consider the whole plan—not just parts of it—and see that we are equitably spread this burden,” he says.
Although many business groups have called for lawmakers and Brown to link the passage of large new corporate taxes to PERS cost containment, Blosser says Brown is not taking such a position.
“The governor is not predicating her support for new taxes with the passage of some version of the PERS stabilization package she’s proposing,” Blosser says.
The PERS Coalition, a group of public employee unions reacted negatively to the governor’s plan.
“The proposal described today is a non-starter and lawmakers should reject it right out of the gate,” said Patty Wentz a spokeswoman for the coalition.
“It would be an immediate salary cut to the tens of thousands of teachers and public employees who educate our children, protect our safety, and serve our communities. This convoluted, confusing and ill-conceived proposal also raises serious constitutional and legal issues that would send the state into court for another lengthy and expensive lawsuit.”
Mike Salsgiver, the Executive Director of the Associated General Contractors, Oregon-Columbia Chapter warned in statement that SAIF’s reserves should be off limits.
“SAIF’s reserves are essential to protecting the safety of Oregon workers and ensuring low rates for contractors and other small businesses throughout the state,” Salsgiver said in a statement. “You can be certain that raiding hundreds of millions of dollars from SAIF’s reserves will negatively impact worker safety and accident prevention. That means higher rates for employers, reduced benefits for workers, or fewer investments in accident prevention. Any way you cut it, Oregon small businesses and workers lose.”
Brown will present testimony on her plan to lawmakers in front of the Legislature’s Capital Construction Committee at 1:30 pm today.